Mexico City's high temperature on August 8 is expected near the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with trader sentiment reflecting forecast uncertainty from the wet season's cloud cover, showers, and convective activity. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, daytime maxima are moderated by reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall, as indicated by models projecting a high around 74°F (23°C) with late-day precipitation. This aligns closely with August climatology showing typical highs of 23–25°C and explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 23–25°C outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these variables before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 8 августа?
24°C 38%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
20%
24°C
38%
25°C
29%
26°C
13%
27°C
1%
28°C или выше
1%
24°C 38%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$501 Объем
<1%
19°C
$1,230 Объем
<1%
20°C
$401 Объем
1%
21°C
$217 Объем
1%
22°C
$209 Объем
5%
23°C
$396 Объем
20%
24°C
$303 Объем
38%
25°C
$217 Объем
29%
26°C
$694 Объем
13%
27°C
$128 Объем
1%
28°C или выше
$118 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high temperature on August 8 is expected near the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with trader sentiment reflecting forecast uncertainty from the wet season's cloud cover, showers, and convective activity. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, daytime maxima are moderated by reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall, as indicated by models projecting a high around 74°F (23°C) with late-day precipitation. This aligns closely with August climatology showing typical highs of 23–25°C and explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 23–25°C outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$4,415Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high temperature on August 8 is expected near the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with trader sentiment reflecting forecast uncertainty from the wet season's cloud cover, showers, and convective activity. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, daytime maxima are moderated by reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall, as indicated by models projecting a high around 74°F (23°C) with late-day precipitation. This aligns closely with August climatology showing typical highs of 23–25°C and explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 23–25°C outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,415Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high temperature on August 8 is expected near the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with trader sentiment reflecting forecast uncertainty from the wet season's cloud cover, showers, and convective activity. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, daytime maxima are moderated by reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall, as indicated by models projecting a high around 74°F (23°C) with late-day precipitation. This aligns closely with August climatology showing typical highs of 23–25°C and explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 23–25°C outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these variables before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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