Mexico City's high-elevation basin (roughly 2,240 m) and August wet-season regime keep daily highs moderate, typically 23–25°C, as frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers from monsoon moisture limit insolation and cap temperatures. Current forecast guidance for August 7, 2026, aligns closely with this climatology, showing mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and highs near 23–25°C (about 73–77°F) per sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and regional models, with limited scope for drier conditions or stronger heating that would favor 26°C or above. Trader sentiment concentrates probability on the 23–25°C bins (totaling over 90%) because these outcomes match both historical baselines and the latest model consensus, while the steep drop-off beyond 26°C reflects the rarity of exceeding seasonal norms under persistent moisture. No major anomalous patterns, such as suppressed rainfall or heat advection, have emerged to shift expectations in the past 24–48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 7 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 7 августа?
24°C 40%
25°C 30%
23°C 24%
26°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
30%
26°C
8%
27°C или выше
1%
24°C 40%
25°C 30%
23°C 24%
26°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$486 Объем
<1%
18°C
$474 Объем
<1%
19°C
$158 Объем
<1%
20°C
$257 Объем
1%
21°C
$260 Объем
1%
22°C
$675 Объем
4%
23°C
$420 Объем
24%
24°C
$1,965 Объем
40%
25°C
$799 Объем
30%
26°C
$1,043 Объем
8%
27°C или выше
$426 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation basin (roughly 2,240 m) and August wet-season regime keep daily highs moderate, typically 23–25°C, as frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers from monsoon moisture limit insolation and cap temperatures. Current forecast guidance for August 7, 2026, aligns closely with this climatology, showing mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and highs near 23–25°C (about 73–77°F) per sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and regional models, with limited scope for drier conditions or stronger heating that would favor 26°C or above. Trader sentiment concentrates probability on the 23–25°C bins (totaling over 90%) because these outcomes match both historical baselines and the latest model consensus, while the steep drop-off beyond 26°C reflects the rarity of exceeding seasonal norms under persistent moisture. No major anomalous patterns, such as suppressed rainfall or heat advection, have emerged to shift expectations in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$6,963Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation basin (roughly 2,240 m) and August wet-season regime keep daily highs moderate, typically 23–25°C, as frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers from monsoon moisture limit insolation and cap temperatures. Current forecast guidance for August 7, 2026, aligns closely with this climatology, showing mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and highs near 23–25°C (about 73–77°F) per sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and regional models, with limited scope for drier conditions or stronger heating that would favor 26°C or above. Trader sentiment concentrates probability on the 23–25°C bins (totaling over 90%) because these outcomes match both historical baselines and the latest model consensus, while the steep drop-off beyond 26°C reflects the rarity of exceeding seasonal norms under persistent moisture. No major anomalous patterns, such as suppressed rainfall or heat advection, have emerged to shift expectations in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,963Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation basin (roughly 2,240 m) and August wet-season regime keep daily highs moderate, typically 23–25°C, as frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers from monsoon moisture limit insolation and cap temperatures. Current forecast guidance for August 7, 2026, aligns closely with this climatology, showing mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and highs near 23–25°C (about 73–77°F) per sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and regional models, with limited scope for drier conditions or stronger heating that would favor 26°C or above. Trader sentiment concentrates probability on the 23–25°C bins (totaling over 90%) because these outcomes match both historical baselines and the latest model consensus, while the steep drop-off beyond 26°C reflects the rarity of exceeding seasonal norms under persistent moisture. No major anomalous patterns, such as suppressed rainfall or heat advection, have emerged to shift expectations in the past 24–48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы