Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological services and international agencies highlight a transitional weather pattern over São Paulo, with a polar air mass and approaching cold front moderating temperatures while allowing daytime highs to reach the upper 20s °C on August 8. This setup, combined with partial cloud cover and light winds, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30 °C by differentiating between modest afternoon warming versus stronger cooling from maritime influences. Historical August baselines near 24 °C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows slight upward revisions in maximum temperature potential compared to earlier runs, introducing the observed uncertainty among closely matched outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 8 августа?
28°C 35%
29°C 31%
30°C 25%
27°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
35%
29°C
31%
30°C
25%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 35%
29°C 31%
30°C 25%
27°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$163 Объем
<1%
23°C
$228 Объем
<1%
24°C
$75 Объем
1%
25°C
$59 Объем
1%
26°C
$183 Объем
3%
27°C
$665 Объем
9%
28°C
$316 Объем
35%
29°C
$360 Объем
31%
30°C
$981 Объем
25%
31°C
$99 Объем
3%
32°C or higher
$103 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological services and international agencies highlight a transitional weather pattern over São Paulo, with a polar air mass and approaching cold front moderating temperatures while allowing daytime highs to reach the upper 20s °C on August 8. This setup, combined with partial cloud cover and light winds, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30 °C by differentiating between modest afternoon warming versus stronger cooling from maritime influences. Historical August baselines near 24 °C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows slight upward revisions in maximum temperature potential compared to earlier runs, introducing the observed uncertainty among closely matched outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$3,139Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological services and international agencies highlight a transitional weather pattern over São Paulo, with a polar air mass and approaching cold front moderating temperatures while allowing daytime highs to reach the upper 20s °C on August 8. This setup, combined with partial cloud cover and light winds, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30 °C by differentiating between modest afternoon warming versus stronger cooling from maritime influences. Historical August baselines near 24 °C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows slight upward revisions in maximum temperature potential compared to earlier runs, introducing the observed uncertainty among closely matched outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,139Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological services and international agencies highlight a transitional weather pattern over São Paulo, with a polar air mass and approaching cold front moderating temperatures while allowing daytime highs to reach the upper 20s °C on August 8. This setup, combined with partial cloud cover and light winds, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30 °C by differentiating between modest afternoon warming versus stronger cooling from maritime influences. Historical August baselines near 24 °C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows slight upward revisions in maximum temperature potential compared to earlier runs, introducing the observed uncertainty among closely matched outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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