Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6 clustering tightly around 31–33 °C because official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical guidance currently point to a maximum near 33 °C under mainly fine, very hot conditions with light winds and only isolated showers. Subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming favor afternoon peaks in this range, consistent with early-August climatology, while modest model spread in cloud cover and convective timing creates the narrow probability distribution across 31–34 °C. Recent cooler readings, such as the 28 °C peak on August 3, underscore how quickly short-term variability in humidity and insolation can shift the daily maximum, keeping the 31–33 °C brackets closely matched until the next model update and official verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 6 августа?
32°C 32%
33°C 27%
31°C 23%
34°C 17%
$33,922 Объем
$33,922 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
23%
32°C
32%
33°C
27%
34°C
17%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
33°C 27%
31°C 23%
34°C 17%
$33,922 Объем
$33,922 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
23%
32°C
32%
33°C
27%
34°C
17%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6 clustering tightly around 31–33 °C because official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical guidance currently point to a maximum near 33 °C under mainly fine, very hot conditions with light winds and only isolated showers. Subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming favor afternoon peaks in this range, consistent with early-August climatology, while modest model spread in cloud cover and convective timing creates the narrow probability distribution across 31–34 °C. Recent cooler readings, such as the 28 °C peak on August 3, underscore how quickly short-term variability in humidity and insolation can shift the daily maximum, keeping the 31–33 °C brackets closely matched until the next model update and official verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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