Persistent subtropical high pressure over eastern China has sustained a regional heatwave, with recent official forecasts from agencies like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau pointing to a daily maximum near 33–34°C for August 5 amid possible cloud cover and scattered rain. This aligns with the market's strong 73.5% implied probability for 33°C, as climatological August averages hover around 31–32°C and model consensus shows limited potential for further intensification today. Recent orange heat alerts through early August reflected sustained 35–38°C peaks on prior days, yet evolving steering patterns and moisture intrusion appear to be capping today's extreme, keeping 34°C a distant secondary outcome at 13%. Traders are monitoring final observational data releases for resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 5 августа?
33°C 81%
34°C 17%
35°C 2%
36°C <1%
$98,803 Объем
$98,803 Объем
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
81%
34°C
17%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 81%
34°C 17%
35°C 2%
36°C <1%
$98,803 Объем
$98,803 Объем
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
81%
34°C
17%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure over eastern China has sustained a regional heatwave, with recent official forecasts from agencies like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau pointing to a daily maximum near 33–34°C for August 5 amid possible cloud cover and scattered rain. This aligns with the market's strong 73.5% implied probability for 33°C, as climatological August averages hover around 31–32°C and model consensus shows limited potential for further intensification today. Recent orange heat alerts through early August reflected sustained 35–38°C peaks on prior days, yet evolving steering patterns and moisture intrusion appear to be capping today's extreme, keeping 34°C a distant secondary outcome at 13%. Traders are monitoring final observational data releases for resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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