Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models and observational data indicate Shanghai will see a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 5, supported by typical early-August climatology featuring overnight lows of 25–28°C amid high humidity and limited cooling. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable subtropical high pressure and light winds, align with this outcome, producing strong trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential model revisions from unexpected cloud cover increases or localized measurement variations at official stations, though historical analogs and ensemble runs show low likelihood of dropping below 26°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 5 августа?
27°C 99%
26°C 1.4%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,634 Объем
$33,634 Объем
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 99%
26°C 1.4%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,634 Объем
$33,634 Объем
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models and observational data indicate Shanghai will see a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 5, supported by typical early-August climatology featuring overnight lows of 25–28°C amid high humidity and limited cooling. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable subtropical high pressure and light winds, align with this outcome, producing strong trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential model revisions from unexpected cloud cover increases or localized measurement variations at official stations, though historical analogs and ensemble runs show low likelihood of dropping below 26°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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