Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on August 6 most likely between 33–34 °C, supporting the close market-implied odds on those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers are the key variables that can suppress or allow brief radiative heating to reach those thresholds. Historical August averages near 32 °C and recent daily highs around 31 °C provide context, yet short-range model spread and potential steering influences from regional pressure systems create the narrow gap between the leading brackets. Updated guidance later today will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 6 августа?
34°C 41%
33°C 34%
32°C 10%
35°C 8.4%
$50,283 Объем
$50,283 Объем
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
34%
34°C
41%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C или выше
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 34%
32°C 10%
35°C 8.4%
$50,283 Объем
$50,283 Объем
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
34%
34°C
41%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on August 6 most likely between 33–34 °C, supporting the close market-implied odds on those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers are the key variables that can suppress or allow brief radiative heating to reach those thresholds. Historical August averages near 32 °C and recent daily highs around 31 °C provide context, yet short-range model spread and potential steering influences from regional pressure systems create the narrow gap between the leading brackets. Updated guidance later today will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы