Skip to main content
icon for Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 4 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 4 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 4 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 4 августа?

72-73°F 100.0%

67°F или ниже <1%

68-69°F <1%

70-71°F <1%

Polymarket

$49,609 Объем

72-73°F 100.0%

67°F или ниже <1%

68-69°F <1%

70-71°F <1%

Polymarket

$49,609 Объем

67°F или ниже

$1,466 Объем

<1%

68-69°F

$1,628 Объем

<1%

70-71°F

$5,995 Объем

<1%

72-73°F

$10,052 Объем

100%

74-75°F

$3,759 Объем

<1%

76-77°F

$6,498 Объем

<1%

78-79°F

$4,171 Объем

<1%

80-81°F

$5,267 Объем

<1%

82-83°F

$4,037 Объем

<1%

84-85°F

$4,417 Объем

<1%

86°F или выше

$2,319 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's near-certain positioning on a 72-73°F high for San Francisco on August 4, 2026, reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) by the National Weather Service.** Persistent marine-layer influence and a moderating onshore flow kept coastal highs well below inland heat-wave peaks, aligning with climatological August averages near 69°F and recent model guidance showing limited warming. This outcome matches real-time observational data from the station used for market resolution. A post-event revision in the Climatological Report or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift resolution, though such changes are rare once preliminary observations are finalized.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$49,609
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's near-certain positioning on a 72-73°F high for San Francisco on August 4, 2026, reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) by the National Weather Service.** Persistent marine-layer influence and a moderating onshore flow kept coastal highs well below inland heat-wave peaks, aligning with climatological August averages near 69°F and recent model guidance showing limited warming. This outcome matches real-time observational data from the station used for market resolution. A post-event revision in the Climatological Report or use of an alternate station could theoretically shift resolution, though such changes are rare once preliminary observations are finalized.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$49,609
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 4 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «72-73°F» с 100%, за ним следует «67°F или ниже» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 4 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $49.6K с момента запуска рынка Aug 2, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 4 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 4 августа?» — «72-73°F» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «67°F или ниже» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 4 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.