The dominant 100% market consensus on a 94-95°F high for Houston on August 4 reflects official observations from the National Weather Service at the primary reporting station, which recorded a peak temperature in that narrow band amid typical late-summer conditions. August climatology for the region shows average highs near 94°F, with recent model guidance and surface observations confirming limited deviation due to moderate Gulf moisture and light steering flow that prevented stronger heating or convective cooling. This outcome aligns with pre-event forecasts projecting upper-90s values rather than the triple-digit spikes seen earlier in the summer. Revisions to the official record or station data anomalies remain the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are posted.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Хьюстоне 4 августа?
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F или ниже <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,420 Объем
$31,420 Объем
87°F или ниже
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F или выше
<1%
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F или ниже <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,420 Объем
$31,420 Объем
87°F или ниже
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant 100% market consensus on a 94-95°F high for Houston on August 4 reflects official observations from the National Weather Service at the primary reporting station, which recorded a peak temperature in that narrow band amid typical late-summer conditions. August climatology for the region shows average highs near 94°F, with recent model guidance and surface observations confirming limited deviation due to moderate Gulf moisture and light steering flow that prevented stronger heating or convective cooling. This outcome aligns with pre-event forecasts projecting upper-90s values rather than the triple-digit spikes seen earlier in the summer. Revisions to the official record or station data anomalies remain the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are posted.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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