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icon for Самая высокая температура в Остине 4 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Остине 4 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Остине 4 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Остине 4 августа?

100-101°F 100.0%

89°F или ниже <1%

90-91°F <1%

92-93°F <1%

Polymarket

$31,698 Объем

100-101°F 100.0%

89°F или ниже <1%

90-91°F <1%

92-93°F <1%

Polymarket

$31,698 Объем

89°F или ниже

$539 Объем

<1%

90-91°F

$1,072 Объем

<1%

92-93°F

$1,496 Объем

<1%

94-95°F

$1,976 Объем

<1%

96-97°F

$5,319 Объем

<1%

98-99°F

$6,738 Объем

<1%

100-101°F

$8,805 Объем

100%

102-103°F

$3,309 Объем

<1%

104-105°F

$1,225 Объем

<1%

106-107°F

$670 Объем

<1%

108°F или выше

$551 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Austin Bergstrom International Airport placed the August 4, 2026, daily maximum at 100–101°F, driving near-certain market pricing on that bin. Mid-summer Central Texas conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge produced clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs consistently projecting highs near 100°F against a seasonal baseline of 96–98°F. Recent upper-air patterns limited moisture and cloud cover, supporting efficient boundary-layer warming. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage, station instrumentation error, or reanalysis adjustment could shift the verified value outside this narrow range before final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$31,698
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Окно спора

Окончательный

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Austin Bergstrom International Airport placed the August 4, 2026, daily maximum at 100–101°F, driving near-certain market pricing on that bin. Mid-summer Central Texas conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge produced clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs consistently projecting highs near 100°F against a seasonal baseline of 96–98°F. Recent upper-air patterns limited moisture and cloud cover, supporting efficient boundary-layer warming. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage, station instrumentation error, or reanalysis adjustment could shift the verified value outside this narrow range before final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$31,698
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Окно спора

Окончательный

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Остине 4 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «100-101°F» с 100%, за ним следует «89°F или ниже» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Остине 4 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $31.7K с момента запуска рынка Aug 2, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Остине 4 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Остине 4 августа?» — «100-101°F» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «89°F или ниже» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Остине 4 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.