Official measurements from Austin Bergstrom International Airport placed the August 4, 2026, daily maximum at 100–101°F, driving near-certain market pricing on that bin. Mid-summer Central Texas conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge produced clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs consistently projecting highs near 100°F against a seasonal baseline of 96–98°F. Recent upper-air patterns limited moisture and cloud cover, supporting efficient boundary-layer warming. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage, station instrumentation error, or reanalysis adjustment could shift the verified value outside this narrow range before final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 4 августа?
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F или ниже <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$31,698 Объем
$31,698 Объем
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
100%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F или ниже <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$31,698 Объем
$31,698 Объем
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
100%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Окно спора
Окончательный
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Окно спора
Окончательный
Official measurements from Austin Bergstrom International Airport placed the August 4, 2026, daily maximum at 100–101°F, driving near-certain market pricing on that bin. Mid-summer Central Texas conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge produced clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs consistently projecting highs near 100°F against a seasonal baseline of 96–98°F. Recent upper-air patterns limited moisture and cloud cover, supporting efficient boundary-layer warming. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage, station instrumentation error, or reanalysis adjustment could shift the verified value outside this narrow range before final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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