**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects current forecast model runs and climatological patterns for the region during peak summer monsoon conditions. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services projects daytime highs near 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F), with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover limiting further warming. These conditions align with historical August averages of 33–35°C and typical steering patterns that prevent extreme heat buildup. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected subsidence under clearer skies or a delayed storm track allowing brief radiative heating, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Conversely, heavier convective activity or earlier sea-breeze effects could cap the peak below 35°C. As of the resolution window, the market-implied odds capture the narrow uncertainty band around official temperature observations, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 5 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 5 августа?
35°C 99.5%
36°C 1.0%
37°C <1%
38°C или выше <1%
$82,947 Объем
$82,947 Объем
5 авг. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C или выше
<1%
35°C 99.5%
36°C 1.0%
37°C <1%
38°C или выше <1%
$82,947 Объем
$82,947 Объем
5 авг. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$279 Объем
<1%
29°C
$407 Объем
<1%
30°C
$814 Объем
<1%
31°C
$2,297 Объем
<1%
32°C
$8,419 Объем
<1%
33°C
$6,978 Объем
<1%
34°C
$17,977 Объем
<1%
35°C
$11,456 Объем
100%
36°C
$9,089 Объем
1%
37°C
$12,261 Объем
1%
38°C или выше
$12,971 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects current forecast model runs and climatological patterns for the region during peak summer monsoon conditions. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services projects daytime highs near 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F), with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover limiting further warming. These conditions align with historical August averages of 33–35°C and typical steering patterns that prevent extreme heat buildup.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected subsidence under clearer skies or a delayed storm track allowing brief radiative heating, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Conversely, heavier convective activity or earlier sea-breeze effects could cap the peak below 35°C. As of the resolution window, the market-implied odds capture the narrow uncertainty band around official temperature observations, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$82,947Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects current forecast model runs and climatological patterns for the region during peak summer monsoon conditions. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services projects daytime highs near 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F), with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover limiting further warming. These conditions align with historical August averages of 33–35°C and typical steering patterns that prevent extreme heat buildup.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected subsidence under clearer skies or a delayed storm track allowing brief radiative heating, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Conversely, heavier convective activity or earlier sea-breeze effects could cap the peak below 35°C. As of the resolution window, the market-implied odds capture the narrow uncertainty band around official temperature observations, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$82,947Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects current forecast model runs and climatological patterns for the region during peak summer monsoon conditions. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services projects daytime highs near 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F), with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover limiting further warming. These conditions align with historical August averages of 33–35°C and typical steering patterns that prevent extreme heat buildup. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected subsidence under clearer skies or a delayed storm track allowing brief radiative heating, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Conversely, heavier convective activity or earlier sea-breeze effects could cap the peak below 35°C. As of the resolution window, the market-implied odds capture the narrow uncertainty band around official temperature observations, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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