Trader consensus at 100% for a high of 35°C or above in Chengdu on August 5 stems from real-time observational data and short-range model consensus showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching or exceeding that threshold amid typical summer monsoon conditions. Official monitoring from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources such as NOAA-aligned forecasts indicate strong insolation, low wind, and urban heat-island effects pushing readings into the mid-30s Celsius, consistent with historical August averages near 32–34°C and recent daily peaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects traders’ assessment of confirmed trends over uncertain longer-range variables. A realistic shift could occur only if persistent heavy precipitation or unexpected cloud cover develops rapidly enough to suppress the daily maximum before official station readings are finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 5 августа?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,702 Объем
$62,702 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,702 Объем
$62,702 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus at 100% for a high of 35°C or above in Chengdu on August 5 stems from real-time observational data and short-range model consensus showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching or exceeding that threshold amid typical summer monsoon conditions. Official monitoring from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources such as NOAA-aligned forecasts indicate strong insolation, low wind, and urban heat-island effects pushing readings into the mid-30s Celsius, consistent with historical August averages near 32–34°C and recent daily peaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects traders’ assessment of confirmed trends over uncertain longer-range variables. A realistic shift could occur only if persistent heavy precipitation or unexpected cloud cover develops rapidly enough to suppress the daily maximum before official station readings are finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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