Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and WeatherBug point to a daytime high near 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 6, 2026, with thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies likely limiting peak solar heating and supporting the market’s heaviest trading around these levels. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered rainfall, tends to cap maximum temperatures below clear-sky potential, while regional steering patterns keep the area under warm but not extreme subtropical air. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, yet short-term model runs showing slight cooling from precipitation have shifted trader consensus toward the 32°C and 33°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 6 августа?
32°C 38%
33°C 25%
31°C 14%
34°C 11%
НОВОЕ
$27,851 Объем
НОВОЕ
$27,851 Объем
6 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
38%
33°C
25%
34°C
11%
35°C или выше
5%
32°C 38%
33°C 25%
31°C 14%
34°C 11%
НОВОЕ
$27,851 Объем
НОВОЕ
$27,851 Объем
6 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$488 Объем
<1%
26°C
$373 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1,138 Объем
<1%
28°C
$1,343 Объем
1%
29°C
$1,131 Объем
3%
30°C
$828 Объем
6%
31°C
$4,706 Объем
14%
32°C
$7,191 Объем
38%
33°C
$5,757 Объем
25%
34°C
$1,866 Объем
11%
35°C или выше
$3,036 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and WeatherBug point to a daytime high near 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 6, 2026, with thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies likely limiting peak solar heating and supporting the market’s heaviest trading around these levels. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered rainfall, tends to cap maximum temperatures below clear-sky potential, while regional steering patterns keep the area under warm but not extreme subtropical air. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, yet short-term model runs showing slight cooling from precipitation have shifted trader consensus toward the 32°C and 33°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$27,851Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and WeatherBug point to a daytime high near 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 6, 2026, with thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies likely limiting peak solar heating and supporting the market’s heaviest trading around these levels. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered rainfall, tends to cap maximum temperatures below clear-sky potential, while regional steering patterns keep the area under warm but not extreme subtropical air. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, yet short-term model runs showing slight cooling from precipitation have shifted trader consensus toward the 32°C and 33°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$27,851Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and WeatherBug point to a daytime high near 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 6, 2026, with thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies likely limiting peak solar heating and supporting the market’s heaviest trading around these levels. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered rainfall, tends to cap maximum temperatures below clear-sky potential, while regional steering patterns keep the area under warm but not extreme subtropical air. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, yet short-term model runs showing slight cooling from precipitation have shifted trader consensus toward the 32°C and 33°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы