Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 7 amid typical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and isolated showers without significant cooling influences or tropical systems. This aligns with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average near 26°C, though current model runs show slightly elevated readings due to persistent warm air masses and limited cloud cover overnight. Trader consensus reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow range of expected outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory station. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could refine probabilities if shower activity or wind shifts alter radiative cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 7 августа?
27°C 49%
28°C 30%
26°C 7%
29°C 4%
$23,555 Объем
$23,555 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
49%
28°C
30%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 30%
26°C 7%
29°C 4%
$23,555 Объем
$23,555 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
49%
28°C
30%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 7 amid typical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and isolated showers without significant cooling influences or tropical systems. This aligns with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average near 26°C, though current model runs show slightly elevated readings due to persistent warm air masses and limited cloud cover overnight. Trader consensus reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow range of expected outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory station. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could refine probabilities if shower activity or wind shifts alter radiative cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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