Recent forecasts from global models indicate a cooling trend in Moscow following peak warmth on August 6–7, with high pressure yielding to a passing front that limits daytime heating on August 8. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, consistent with climatological August averages of 22°C but tempered by the recent heat anomaly. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight market split between these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 23°C or 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in advection strength ahead of the next data update from regional meteorological centers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 8 августа?
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
23°C 20%
26°C 13%
20°C или ниже
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
11%
23°C
20%
24°C
42%
25°C
41%
26°C
13%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C или выше
3%
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
23°C 20%
26°C 13%
20°C или ниже
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
11%
23°C
20%
24°C
42%
25°C
41%
26°C
13%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate a cooling trend in Moscow following peak warmth on August 6–7, with high pressure yielding to a passing front that limits daytime heating on August 8. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, consistent with climatological August averages of 22°C but tempered by the recent heat anomaly. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight market split between these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 23°C or 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in advection strength ahead of the next data update from regional meteorological centers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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