Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Paris around 28–30°C for August 8, with limited model spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (49% implied probability) and 31°C (28.5%). Persistent high-pressure patterns across western Europe, following multiple 2026 heatwaves that elevated baseline temperatures above the 24–26°C August climatology, favor this range while steering systems remain stable. Minor downward revisions in some ensemble runs account for the secondary 29°C probability (15%), whereas stronger warming signals in others underpin the smaller 32°C share. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from Météo-France and ECMWF will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 8 августа?
30°C 49%
31°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
49%
31°C
29%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 49%
31°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$5 Объем
<1%
26°C
$10 Объем
1%
27°C
$55 Объем
2%
28°C
$75 Объем
4%
29°C
$48 Объем
16%
30°C
$376 Объем
49%
31°C
$87 Объем
29%
32°C
$89 Объем
7%
33°C
$6 Объем
4%
34°C
$28 Объем
2%
35°C or higher
$10 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Paris around 28–30°C for August 8, with limited model spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (49% implied probability) and 31°C (28.5%). Persistent high-pressure patterns across western Europe, following multiple 2026 heatwaves that elevated baseline temperatures above the 24–26°C August climatology, favor this range while steering systems remain stable. Minor downward revisions in some ensemble runs account for the secondary 29°C probability (15%), whereas stronger warming signals in others underpin the smaller 32°C share. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from Météo-France and ECMWF will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$789Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Paris around 28–30°C for August 8, with limited model spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (49% implied probability) and 31°C (28.5%). Persistent high-pressure patterns across western Europe, following multiple 2026 heatwaves that elevated baseline temperatures above the 24–26°C August climatology, favor this range while steering systems remain stable. Minor downward revisions in some ensemble runs account for the secondary 29°C probability (15%), whereas stronger warming signals in others underpin the smaller 32°C share. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from Météo-France and ECMWF will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$789Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Paris around 28–30°C for August 8, with limited model spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (49% implied probability) and 31°C (28.5%). Persistent high-pressure patterns across western Europe, following multiple 2026 heatwaves that elevated baseline temperatures above the 24–26°C August climatology, favor this range while steering systems remain stable. Minor downward revisions in some ensemble runs account for the secondary 29°C probability (15%), whereas stronger warming signals in others underpin the smaller 32°C share. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from Météo-France and ECMWF will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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