Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a cooldown for Paris on August 6 driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 15–16 °C. This aligns with the market’s concentration around those levels, as historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–15 °C while current guidance shows only modest deviation from the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains limited, with limited risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift outcomes toward 13 °C or 17 °C. Final verification will rest on official overnight readings from central Paris stations after midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 6 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 6 августа?
15°C 46%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
25%
15°C
46%
16°C
27%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
15°C 46%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$84 Объем
1%
13°C
$127 Объем
5%
14°C
$657 Объем
25%
15°C
$218 Объем
46%
16°C
$143 Объем
27%
17°C
$849 Объем
1%
18°C
$170 Объем
1%
19°C
$63 Объем
1%
20°C
$150 Объем
<1%
21°C
$60 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$60 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a cooldown for Paris on August 6 driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 15–16 °C. This aligns with the market’s concentration around those levels, as historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–15 °C while current guidance shows only modest deviation from the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains limited, with limited risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift outcomes toward 13 °C or 17 °C. Final verification will rest on official overnight readings from central Paris stations after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,581Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a cooldown for Paris on August 6 driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 15–16 °C. This aligns with the market’s concentration around those levels, as historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–15 °C while current guidance shows only modest deviation from the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains limited, with limited risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift outcomes toward 13 °C or 17 °C. Final verification will rest on official overnight readings from central Paris stations after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,581Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a cooldown for Paris on August 6 driven by northerly flow and clearer skies that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 15–16 °C. This aligns with the market’s concentration around those levels, as historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–15 °C while current guidance shows only modest deviation from the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains limited, with limited risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift outcomes toward 13 °C or 17 °C. Final verification will rest on official overnight readings from central Paris stations after midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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