Recent above-normal rainfall forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department for Karachi during August 2–8 have become the dominant driver, with enhanced monsoon cloud cover and precipitation expected to moderate daytime highs near 33–34°C. Seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal mean temperatures across Sindh, yet localized heavy monsoon activity—potentially 100–200 mm—introduces uncertainty in peak readings through variable timing of showers and humidity. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, providing context for why markets heavily weight these two outcomes while discounting 35°C or higher amid the wetter pattern. Short-term model updates and PMD briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities before August 7.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Карачи 7 августа?
34°C 43%
33°C 41%
35°C 12%
32°C 6%
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C
41%
34°C
43%
35°C
12%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C или выше
1%
34°C 43%
33°C 41%
35°C 12%
32°C 6%
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C
41%
34°C
43%
35°C
12%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent above-normal rainfall forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department for Karachi during August 2–8 have become the dominant driver, with enhanced monsoon cloud cover and precipitation expected to moderate daytime highs near 33–34°C. Seasonal outlooks indicate above-normal mean temperatures across Sindh, yet localized heavy monsoon activity—potentially 100–200 mm—introduces uncertainty in peak readings through variable timing of showers and humidity. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, providing context for why markets heavily weight these two outcomes while discounting 35°C or higher amid the wetter pattern. Short-term model updates and PMD briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities before August 7.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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