Recent Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 20°C for Paris on August 5, driven by a stable high-pressure regime that has suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with observational trends showing overnight lows holding near or slightly above seasonal averages amid the broader 2026 warmth anomaly. Official stations such as Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution based on the recorded low. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cloud increases or subtle wind shifts that enhance cooling, though current model consensus assigns low probability to sub-19°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 5 августа?
20°C 91%
19°C 7%
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
$16,448 Объем
$16,448 Объем
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
91%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 91%
19°C 7%
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
$16,448 Объем
$16,448 Объем
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
91%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 20°C for Paris on August 5, driven by a stable high-pressure regime that has suppressed nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with observational trends showing overnight lows holding near or slightly above seasonal averages amid the broader 2026 warmth anomaly. Official stations such as Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution based on the recorded low. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cloud increases or subtle wind shifts that enhance cooling, though current model consensus assigns low probability to sub-19°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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