Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project a daytime high of 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes amid typical August humidity levels above 75% and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in central districts, while any scattered showers or increased southerly flow could tip the maximum down to 31°C or allow brief clearing for 34°C. Historical averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a baseline against which current above-normal seasonal signals from the JMA support the tight spread between the two leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 6 августа?
32°C 40%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
34°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
40%
33°C
30%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
34°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$243 Объем
<1%
27°C
$476 Объем
<1%
28°C
$842 Объем
<1%
29°C
$510 Объем
2%
30°C
$283 Объем
3%
31°C
$1,012 Объем
16%
32°C
$844 Объем
40%
33°C
$731 Объем
30%
34°C
$1,022 Объем
9%
35°C
$459 Объем
3%
36°C or higher
$778 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project a daytime high of 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes amid typical August humidity levels above 75% and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in central districts, while any scattered showers or increased southerly flow could tip the maximum down to 31°C or allow brief clearing for 34°C. Historical averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a baseline against which current above-normal seasonal signals from the JMA support the tight spread between the two leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$7,199Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project a daytime high of 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes amid typical August humidity levels above 75% and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in central districts, while any scattered showers or increased southerly flow could tip the maximum down to 31°C or allow brief clearing for 34°C. Historical averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a baseline against which current above-normal seasonal signals from the JMA support the tight spread between the two leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,199Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project a daytime high of 32–33°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes amid typical August humidity levels above 75% and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in central districts, while any scattered showers or increased southerly flow could tip the maximum down to 31°C or allow brief clearing for 34°C. Historical averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a baseline against which current above-normal seasonal signals from the JMA support the tight spread between the two leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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