Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the expansive North Pacific High have positioned 35°C as the market favorite for Busan’s August 6 maximum, with recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirming southeastern highs near 39°C on August 1 and sustained tropical-night patterns through early August. Model consensus from extended forecasts shows daytime peaks clustering around 34–36°C amid elevated humidity and minimal cloud cover, though steering patterns could allow slight moderation if onshore flows strengthen. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current setup an anomaly that traders are pricing through skin-in-the-game consensus on official thermometer readings. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пусане 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Пусане 6 августа?
35°C 55%
34°C 24%
36°C 16%
33°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
30°C или ниже
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
6%
34°C
24%
35°C
55%
36°C
16%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C или выше
<1%
35°C 55%
34°C 24%
36°C 16%
33°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
30°C или ниже
$267 Объем
<1%
31°C
$620 Объем
1%
32°C
$335 Объем
<1%
33°C
$1,496 Объем
6%
34°C
$650 Объем
24%
35°C
$2,804 Объем
55%
36°C
$901 Объем
16%
37°C
$1,078 Объем
1%
38°C
$964 Объем
1%
39°C
$448 Объем
<1%
40°C или выше
$277 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the expansive North Pacific High have positioned 35°C as the market favorite for Busan’s August 6 maximum, with recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirming southeastern highs near 39°C on August 1 and sustained tropical-night patterns through early August. Model consensus from extended forecasts shows daytime peaks clustering around 34–36°C amid elevated humidity and minimal cloud cover, though steering patterns could allow slight moderation if onshore flows strengthen. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current setup an anomaly that traders are pricing through skin-in-the-game consensus on official thermometer readings. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$9,840Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the expansive North Pacific High have positioned 35°C as the market favorite for Busan’s August 6 maximum, with recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirming southeastern highs near 39°C on August 1 and sustained tropical-night patterns through early August. Model consensus from extended forecasts shows daytime peaks clustering around 34–36°C amid elevated humidity and minimal cloud cover, though steering patterns could allow slight moderation if onshore flows strengthen. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current setup an anomaly that traders are pricing through skin-in-the-game consensus on official thermometer readings. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,840Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the expansive North Pacific High have positioned 35°C as the market favorite for Busan’s August 6 maximum, with recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirming southeastern highs near 39°C on August 1 and sustained tropical-night patterns through early August. Model consensus from extended forecasts shows daytime peaks clustering around 34–36°C amid elevated humidity and minimal cloud cover, though steering patterns could allow slight moderation if onshore flows strengthen. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current setup an anomaly that traders are pricing through skin-in-the-game consensus on official thermometer readings. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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