Ongoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from North Africa, underpin trader positioning for Madrid's August 8 maximum temperature. Official AEMET guidance and recent model consensus point to highs near 37°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with observed values in the upper 30s through early August 2026. Urban heat island effects in the capital and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further support potential for readings reaching or slightly exceeding 38°C. Implied probabilities cluster tightly around 37–39°C, reflecting low uncertainty in short-range forecasts but acknowledging possible shifts from updated model runs or minor steering pattern changes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 8 августа?
38°C 48%
39°C 22%
37°C 22%
40°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
34°C или ниже
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
5%
37°C
22%
38°C
48%
39°C
22%
40°C
6%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C или выше
<1%
38°C 48%
39°C 22%
37°C 22%
40°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
34°C или ниже
$10 Объем
1%
35°C
$20 Объем
2%
36°C
$136 Объем
5%
37°C
$263 Объем
22%
38°C
$296 Объем
48%
39°C
$506 Объем
22%
40°C
$54 Объем
6%
41°C
$31 Объем
2%
42°C
$101 Объем
<1%
43°C
$79 Объем
<1%
44°C или выше
$79 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from North Africa, underpin trader positioning for Madrid's August 8 maximum temperature. Official AEMET guidance and recent model consensus point to highs near 37°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with observed values in the upper 30s through early August 2026. Urban heat island effects in the capital and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further support potential for readings reaching or slightly exceeding 38°C. Implied probabilities cluster tightly around 37–39°C, reflecting low uncertainty in short-range forecasts but acknowledging possible shifts from updated model runs or minor steering pattern changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$1,575Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from North Africa, underpin trader positioning for Madrid's August 8 maximum temperature. Official AEMET guidance and recent model consensus point to highs near 37°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with observed values in the upper 30s through early August 2026. Urban heat island effects in the capital and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further support potential for readings reaching or slightly exceeding 38°C. Implied probabilities cluster tightly around 37–39°C, reflecting low uncertainty in short-range forecasts but acknowledging possible shifts from updated model runs or minor steering pattern changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,575Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from North Africa, underpin trader positioning for Madrid's August 8 maximum temperature. Official AEMET guidance and recent model consensus point to highs near 37°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with observed values in the upper 30s through early August 2026. Urban heat island effects in the capital and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further support potential for readings reaching or slightly exceeding 38°C. Implied probabilities cluster tightly around 37–39°C, reflecting low uncertainty in short-range forecasts but acknowledging possible shifts from updated model runs or minor steering pattern changes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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