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icon for Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 августа?

37°C 57%

38°C 39%

39°C 4%

36°C 3%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$21,585 Объем

37°C 57%

38°C 39%

39°C 4%

36°C 3%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$21,585 Объем

33°C или ниже

$661 Объем

<1%

34°C

$2,047 Объем

1%

35°C

$2,245 Объем

<1%

36°C

$4,777 Объем

3%

37°C

$3,735 Объем

57%

38°C

$3,584 Объем

39%

39°C

$2,165 Объем

4%

40°C

$1,051 Объем

<1%

41°C

$582 Объем

<1%

42°C

$292 Объем

<1%

43°C или выше

$448 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum of 36–38 °C on August 6 under a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, strong insolation, and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating. Madrid’s continental climate and urban heat-island effect amplify these conditions relative to coastal areas, while climatological norms for early August already place typical maxima near 34 °C. The absence of incoming Atlantic fronts or significant cloud cover in the latest model runs keeps the distribution tightly centered on 37 °C (market-implied 56.5 %) and 38 °C (39.5 %), with only slim odds assigned to 39 °C or cooler outcomes. Updated guidance expected later today could refine the precise peak.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$21,585
Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum of 36–38 °C on August 6 under a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, strong insolation, and light winds that limit mixing and allow surface heating. Madrid’s continental climate and urban heat-island effect amplify these conditions relative to coastal areas, while climatological norms for early August already place typical maxima near 34 °C. The absence of incoming Atlantic fronts or significant cloud cover in the latest model runs keeps the distribution tightly centered on 37 °C (market-implied 56.5 %) and 38 °C (39.5 %), with only slim odds assigned to 39 °C or cooler outcomes. Updated guidance expected later today could refine the precise peak.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$21,585
Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «37°C» с 57%, за ним следует «38°C» с 39%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 57¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 57%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $21.6K с момента запуска рынка Aug 4, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 августа?» — «37°C» с 57%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 57%. Следующий ближайший исход — «38°C» с 39%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.