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icon for Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?

36°C 77%

35°C 12%

37°C 11%

38°C <1%

Polymarket

$31,459 Объем

36°C 77%

35°C 12%

37°C 11%

38°C <1%

Polymarket

$31,459 Объем

31°C or below

$961 Объем

<1%

32°C

$642 Объем

<1%

33°C

$985 Объем

<1%

34°C

$2,054 Объем

<1%

35°C

$8,364 Объем

12%

36°C

$5,179 Объем

77%

37°C

$3,745 Объем

11%

38°C

$2,000 Объем

1%

39°C

$1,156 Объем

<1%

40°C

$935 Объем

<1%

41°C or higher

$5,474 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET forecasts for Madrid on August 5 project a daytime maximum of 35°C under stable anticyclonic conditions typical of midsummer, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF indicating a narrow range around 34–36°C. This consensus, combined with observed trends in recent model runs showing limited daytime heating potential due to light winds and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 36°C at 77.5% implied probability. Nearby outcomes at 35°C and 37°C each hold 11% as traders price in small forecast spreads and resolution criteria based on official station readings. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture advection have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$31,459
Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET forecasts for Madrid on August 5 project a daytime maximum of 35°C under stable anticyclonic conditions typical of midsummer, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF indicating a narrow range around 34–36°C. This consensus, combined with observed trends in recent model runs showing limited daytime heating potential due to light winds and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 36°C at 77.5% implied probability. Nearby outcomes at 35°C and 37°C each hold 11% as traders price in small forecast spreads and resolution criteria based on official station readings. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture advection have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$31,459
Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «36°C» с 77%, за ним следует «35°C» с 12%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 77¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 77%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $31.5K с момента запуска рынка Aug 3, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?» — «36°C» с 77%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 77%. Следующий ближайший исход — «35°C» с 12%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.