Recent observational data and model consensus from the National Weather Service positioned Miami's peak temperature squarely in the 90–91°F range on August 4, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and typical August humidity suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong daytime heating aligned with seasonal norms near 89–91°F. With the event now concluded, the outcome reflects verified station readings rather than projections, though minor variations in microclimate or measurement timing could theoretically shift results within adjacent bins. Traders' strong consensus mirrors the narrow historical range for early August highs at Miami International Airport, where deviations beyond 2–3°F from the mean remain uncommon absent major weather systems.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 4 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Майами 4 августа?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F или ниже <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$49,513 Объем
$49,513 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F или выше
<1%
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F или ниже <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$49,513 Объем
$49,513 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
$347 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$721 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$1,420 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$2,229 Объем
<1%
86-87°F
$4,515 Объем
<1%
88-89°F
$7,030 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$14,280 Объем
100%
92-93°F
$9,083 Объем
<1%
94-95°F
$6,564 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$2,233 Объем
<1%
98°F или выше
$1,091 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and model consensus from the National Weather Service positioned Miami's peak temperature squarely in the 90–91°F range on August 4, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and typical August humidity suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong daytime heating aligned with seasonal norms near 89–91°F. With the event now concluded, the outcome reflects verified station readings rather than projections, though minor variations in microclimate or measurement timing could theoretically shift results within adjacent bins. Traders' strong consensus mirrors the narrow historical range for early August highs at Miami International Airport, where deviations beyond 2–3°F from the mean remain uncommon absent major weather systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Объем
$49,513Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and model consensus from the National Weather Service positioned Miami's peak temperature squarely in the 90–91°F range on August 4, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and typical August humidity suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong daytime heating aligned with seasonal norms near 89–91°F. With the event now concluded, the outcome reflects verified station readings rather than projections, though minor variations in microclimate or measurement timing could theoretically shift results within adjacent bins. Traders' strong consensus mirrors the narrow historical range for early August highs at Miami International Airport, where deviations beyond 2–3°F from the mean remain uncommon absent major weather systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$49,513Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and model consensus from the National Weather Service positioned Miami's peak temperature squarely in the 90–91°F range on August 4, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and typical August humidity suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong daytime heating aligned with seasonal norms near 89–91°F. With the event now concluded, the outcome reflects verified station readings rather than projections, though minor variations in microclimate or measurement timing could theoretically shift results within adjacent bins. Traders' strong consensus mirrors the narrow historical range for early August highs at Miami International Airport, where deviations beyond 2–3°F from the mean remain uncommon absent major weather systems.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы