Official National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 4 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Майами 4 августа?
76-77°F 100.0%
74-75°F 8%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
$14,515 Объем
$14,515 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
74-75°F 8%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
$14,515 Объем
$14,515 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
69°F or below
$567 Объем
No
70-71°F
$1,988 Объем
No
72-73°F
$1,595 Объем
No
74-75°F
$1,100 Объем
No
76-77°F
$2,127 Объем
Yes
78-79°F
$2,618 Объем
No
80-81°F
$1,469 Объем
No
82-83°F
$1,218 Объем
No
84-85°F
$1,040 Объем
No
86-87°F
$427 Объем
No
88°F or higher
$367 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Объем
$14,515Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$14,515Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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