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icon for Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 7 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 7 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 7 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 7 августа?

авг. 6

авг. 7

авг. 6

авг. 7

78-79°F 30%

76-77°F 28%

80-81°F 25%

74-75°F 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

78-79°F 30%

76-77°F 28%

80-81°F 25%

74-75°F 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

65°F или ниже

$10 Объем

1%

66-67°F

$49 Объем

1%

68-69°F

$24 Объем

1%

70-71°F

$24 Объем

8%

72-73°F

$0 Объем

7%

74-75°F

$18 Объем

11%

76-77°F

$30 Объем

28%

78-79°F

$15 Объем

30%

80-81°F

$0 Объем

25%

82-83°F

$8 Объем

6%

84°F или выше

$19 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC's overnight low on August 7 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, reflecting a warm, humid maritime air mass under weak high pressure that limits radiational cooling. High dew points near 70°F and partial cloud cover reduce the temperature drop after sunset, while the urban heat island effect further moderates minima. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet slight variations in timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts keep 76–79°F bins closely matched in trader probabilities. Historical August lows average near 70°F, but the current pattern aligns with the Climate Prediction Center's warmer-than-average outlook, supporting elevated outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and early tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$196
Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC's overnight low on August 7 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, reflecting a warm, humid maritime air mass under weak high pressure that limits radiational cooling. High dew points near 70°F and partial cloud cover reduce the temperature drop after sunset, while the urban heat island effect further moderates minima. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet slight variations in timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts keep 76–79°F bins closely matched in trader probabilities. Historical August lows average near 70°F, but the current pattern aligns with the Climate Prediction Center's warmer-than-average outlook, supporting elevated outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and early tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$196
Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?

39%
icon for Будет ли самая низкая температура в Лондоне 15°C 7 августа?

Будет ли самая низкая температура в Лондоне 15°C 7 августа?

42%
Да
icon for Будет ли максимальная температура в Лос-Анджелесе в пределах 78-79°F 7 августа?

Будет ли максимальная температура в Лос-Анджелесе в пределах 78-79°F 7 августа?

51%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 7 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «78-79°F» с 30%, за ним следует «76-77°F» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 30¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 7 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 5, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 7 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 7 августа?» — «78-79°F» с 30%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Следующий ближайший исход — «76-77°F» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 7 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.