Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and private models point to a high near 90–93°F for New York City on August 7 under partly sunny conditions and a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center outlook. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 90–91°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F and 92–93°F, as models show limited additional heating from typical summer southerly flow and urban heat island effects in Manhattan. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park underscore the current elevated baseline, while cloud cover or convective development could cap peaks below 92°F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours remain key variables for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 7 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 7 августа?
90-91°F 39%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 20%
86-87°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
39%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 39%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 20%
86-87°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
81°F or below
$198 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$24 Объем
1%
84-85°F
$35 Объем
4%
86-87°F
$130 Объем
11%
88-89°F
$276 Объем
25%
90-91°F
$830 Объем
39%
92-93°F
$211 Объем
20%
94-95°F
$39 Объем
5%
96-97°F
$44 Объем
3%
98-99°F
$23 Объем
1%
100°F or higher
$42 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and private models point to a high near 90–93°F for New York City on August 7 under partly sunny conditions and a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center outlook. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 90–91°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F and 92–93°F, as models show limited additional heating from typical summer southerly flow and urban heat island effects in Manhattan. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park underscore the current elevated baseline, while cloud cover or convective development could cap peaks below 92°F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours remain key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$1,850Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and private models point to a high near 90–93°F for New York City on August 7 under partly sunny conditions and a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center outlook. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 90–91°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F and 92–93°F, as models show limited additional heating from typical summer southerly flow and urban heat island effects in Manhattan. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park underscore the current elevated baseline, while cloud cover or convective development could cap peaks below 92°F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours remain key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,850Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and private models point to a high near 90–93°F for New York City on August 7 under partly sunny conditions and a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center outlook. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 90–91°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F and 92–93°F, as models show limited additional heating from typical summer southerly flow and urban heat island effects in Manhattan. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park underscore the current elevated baseline, while cloud cover or convective development could cap peaks below 92°F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours remain key variables for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы