Forecast models from agencies monitoring Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate point to a daily maximum of 35–37°C on August 8, driven by light winds, high humidity, and periods of strong solar heating under partly cloudy skies that favor the leading 36°C bracket at 35.5% implied probability. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from the early-August climatological average of ~32°C, with August 7 forecasts already supporting peaks near 34–35°C amid stable pressure patterns and minimal rain interference. These conditions align with historical analogs for peak summer heat in the Pearl River Delta when steering flows limit cloud cover, though afternoon showers or thicker cloud decks could cap readings closer to 34–35°C. Official station data will determine the exact high, with traders weighting model consensus and short-term updates heavily in this time-sensitive market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 8 августа?
36°C 35%
35°C 25%
37°C 23%
34°C 12%
НОВОЕ
$11,357 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,357 Объем
8 авг. 2026 г.
30°C или ниже
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
12%
35°C
25%
36°C
35%
37°C
23%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C или выше
<1%
36°C 35%
35°C 25%
37°C 23%
34°C 12%
НОВОЕ
$11,357 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,357 Объем
8 авг. 2026 г.
30°C или ниже
$473 Объем
<1%
31°C
$518 Объем
<1%
32°C
$561 Объем
1%
33°C
$1,537 Объем
6%
34°C
$924 Объем
12%
35°C
$1,157 Объем
25%
36°C
$1,385 Объем
35%
37°C
$908 Объем
23%
38°C
$766 Объем
4%
39°C
$566 Объем
1%
40°C или выше
$2,580 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies monitoring Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate point to a daily maximum of 35–37°C on August 8, driven by light winds, high humidity, and periods of strong solar heating under partly cloudy skies that favor the leading 36°C bracket at 35.5% implied probability. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from the early-August climatological average of ~32°C, with August 7 forecasts already supporting peaks near 34–35°C amid stable pressure patterns and minimal rain interference. These conditions align with historical analogs for peak summer heat in the Pearl River Delta when steering flows limit cloud cover, though afternoon showers or thicker cloud decks could cap readings closer to 34–35°C. Official station data will determine the exact high, with traders weighting model consensus and short-term updates heavily in this time-sensitive market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$11,357Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies monitoring Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate point to a daily maximum of 35–37°C on August 8, driven by light winds, high humidity, and periods of strong solar heating under partly cloudy skies that favor the leading 36°C bracket at 35.5% implied probability. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from the early-August climatological average of ~32°C, with August 7 forecasts already supporting peaks near 34–35°C amid stable pressure patterns and minimal rain interference. These conditions align with historical analogs for peak summer heat in the Pearl River Delta when steering flows limit cloud cover, though afternoon showers or thicker cloud decks could cap readings closer to 34–35°C. Official station data will determine the exact high, with traders weighting model consensus and short-term updates heavily in this time-sensitive market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,357Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies monitoring Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate point to a daily maximum of 35–37°C on August 8, driven by light winds, high humidity, and periods of strong solar heating under partly cloudy skies that favor the leading 36°C bracket at 35.5% implied probability. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from the early-August climatological average of ~32°C, with August 7 forecasts already supporting peaks near 34–35°C amid stable pressure patterns and minimal rain interference. These conditions align with historical analogs for peak summer heat in the Pearl River Delta when steering flows limit cloud cover, though afternoon showers or thicker cloud decks could cap readings closer to 34–35°C. Official station data will determine the exact high, with traders weighting model consensus and short-term updates heavily in this time-sensitive market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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