Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models indicate a highest temperature for Chicago on August 5 most likely in the 78–81°F range, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those bins. Cooler-than-normal conditions stem from northwesterly flow and moderating lake breezes off Lake Michigan, which suppress daytime maxima along the shoreline while historical August averages near 83–84°F. Limited cloud cover and weak southerly advection have kept temperatures from climbing further, though minor model spread around timing of any afternoon mixing introduces uncertainty between the 76–77°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 5 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 5 августа?
78-79°F 32%
80–81°F 26%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 16%
НОВОЕ
$22,980 Объем
НОВОЕ
$22,980 Объем
5 авг. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
<1%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
32%
80–81°F
26%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F или выше
<1%
78-79°F 32%
80–81°F 26%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 16%
НОВОЕ
$22,980 Объем
НОВОЕ
$22,980 Объем
5 авг. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
$7,250 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$2,437 Объем
20%
78-79°F
$1,857 Объем
32%
80–81°F
$2,311 Объем
26%
82-83°F
$1,398 Объем
16%
84-85°F
$3,607 Объем
7%
86-87°F
$1,664 Объем
3%
88-89°F
$903 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$547 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$524 Объем
<1%
94°F или выше
$483 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models indicate a highest temperature for Chicago on August 5 most likely in the 78–81°F range, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those bins. Cooler-than-normal conditions stem from northwesterly flow and moderating lake breezes off Lake Michigan, which suppress daytime maxima along the shoreline while historical August averages near 83–84°F. Limited cloud cover and weak southerly advection have kept temperatures from climbing further, though minor model spread around timing of any afternoon mixing introduces uncertainty between the 76–77°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$22,980Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models indicate a highest temperature for Chicago on August 5 most likely in the 78–81°F range, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those bins. Cooler-than-normal conditions stem from northwesterly flow and moderating lake breezes off Lake Michigan, which suppress daytime maxima along the shoreline while historical August averages near 83–84°F. Limited cloud cover and weak southerly advection have kept temperatures from climbing further, though minor model spread around timing of any afternoon mixing introduces uncertainty between the 76–77°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$22,980Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models indicate a highest temperature for Chicago on August 5 most likely in the 78–81°F range, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those bins. Cooler-than-normal conditions stem from northwesterly flow and moderating lake breezes off Lake Michigan, which suppress daytime maxima along the shoreline while historical August averages near 83–84°F. Limited cloud cover and weak southerly advection have kept temperatures from climbing further, though minor model spread around timing of any afternoon mixing introduces uncertainty between the 76–77°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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