Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local National Weather Service outlooks place Austin's August 5 high near 99–101°F amid typical late-summer high pressure and abundant sunshine across Central Texas. This aligns with historical August averages of 95–98°F (peaking near 97°F) and recent early-month observations of 99–102°F, supporting the market's emphasis on the 98–101°F bins as the consensus range. Limited cloud cover or isolated storms could cap peaks slightly below 100°F, while any stronger subsidence or drier air would favor the upper end, consistent with trader-implied odds reflecting real-time model consensus and climatological baselines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 5 августа?
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 31%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 4.9%
$10,188 Объем
$10,188 Объем
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
31%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F или выше
<1%
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 31%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 4.9%
$10,188 Объем
$10,188 Объем
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
31%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local National Weather Service outlooks place Austin's August 5 high near 99–101°F amid typical late-summer high pressure and abundant sunshine across Central Texas. This aligns with historical August averages of 95–98°F (peaking near 97°F) and recent early-month observations of 99–102°F, supporting the market's emphasis on the 98–101°F bins as the consensus range. Limited cloud cover or isolated storms could cap peaks slightly below 100°F, while any stronger subsidence or drier air would favor the upper end, consistent with trader-implied odds reflecting real-time model consensus and climatological baselines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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