Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies position 34–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul/Incheon’s August 8 maximum, consistent with recent KMA guidance and AccuWeather model runs showing daily highs near 36–37°C amid the broader pattern that produced Seoul’s 39°C reading and national records above 42°C earlier in the week. High humidity and minimal overnight cooling further support temperatures in this range, while slight model spread around steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces modest uncertainty that traders price into the 39% and 27% implied probabilities for 35°C and 34°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected from KMA on August 7–8 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 8 августа?
35°C 39%
34°C 27%
36°C 20%
33°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$17,871 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,871 Объем
8 авг. 2026 г.
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
27%
35°C
39%
36°C
20%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
34°C 27%
36°C 20%
33°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$17,871 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,871 Объем
8 авг. 2026 г.
31°C or below
$1,104 Объем
1%
32°C
$947 Объем
3%
33°C
$1,970 Объем
6%
34°C
$2,145 Объем
27%
35°C
$810 Объем
39%
36°C
$3,745 Объем
20%
37°C
$4,155 Объем
5%
38°C
$1,258 Объем
2%
39°C
$771 Объем
<1%
40°C
$535 Объем
<1%
41°C or higher
$430 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies position 34–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul/Incheon’s August 8 maximum, consistent with recent KMA guidance and AccuWeather model runs showing daily highs near 36–37°C amid the broader pattern that produced Seoul’s 39°C reading and national records above 42°C earlier in the week. High humidity and minimal overnight cooling further support temperatures in this range, while slight model spread around steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces modest uncertainty that traders price into the 39% and 27% implied probabilities for 35°C and 34°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected from KMA on August 7–8 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$17,871Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies position 34–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul/Incheon’s August 8 maximum, consistent with recent KMA guidance and AccuWeather model runs showing daily highs near 36–37°C amid the broader pattern that produced Seoul’s 39°C reading and national records above 42°C earlier in the week. High humidity and minimal overnight cooling further support temperatures in this range, while slight model spread around steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces modest uncertainty that traders price into the 39% and 27% implied probabilities for 35°C and 34°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected from KMA on August 7–8 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17,871Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies position 34–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul/Incheon’s August 8 maximum, consistent with recent KMA guidance and AccuWeather model runs showing daily highs near 36–37°C amid the broader pattern that produced Seoul’s 39°C reading and national records above 42°C earlier in the week. High humidity and minimal overnight cooling further support temperatures in this range, while slight model spread around steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces modest uncertainty that traders price into the 39% and 27% implied probabilities for 35°C and 34°C. Updated short-range forecasts expected from KMA on August 7–8 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы