Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models place Paris overnight minima for August 11 near 17–18°C amid a lingering warm air mass, light winds, and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, following a period of elevated temperatures across northern France, support the closely matched trader probabilities for 17°C and 18°C outcomes while leaving room for 1°C shifts based on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but current synoptic patterns favor warmer values with low model spread; high-resolution updates over the next 48 hours will refine thresholds ahead of official Météo-France verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 11 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 11 августа?
17°C 34%
18°C 29%
19°C 20%
16°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
18%
17°C
34%
18°C
29%
19°C
12%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C или выше
1%
17°C 34%
18°C 29%
19°C 20%
16°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$26 Объем
2%
15°C
$0 Объем
7%
16°C
$12 Объем
18%
17°C
$0 Объем
34%
18°C
$0 Объем
29%
19°C
$31 Объем
12%
20°C
$12 Объем
7%
21°C
$5 Объем
3%
22°C
$5 Объем
5%
23°C
$5 Объем
5%
24°C или выше
$12 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models place Paris overnight minima for August 11 near 17–18°C amid a lingering warm air mass, light winds, and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, following a period of elevated temperatures across northern France, support the closely matched trader probabilities for 17°C and 18°C outcomes while leaving room for 1°C shifts based on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but current synoptic patterns favor warmer values with low model spread; high-resolution updates over the next 48 hours will refine thresholds ahead of official Météo-France verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$107Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models place Paris overnight minima for August 11 near 17–18°C amid a lingering warm air mass, light winds, and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, following a period of elevated temperatures across northern France, support the closely matched trader probabilities for 17°C and 18°C outcomes while leaving room for 1°C shifts based on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but current synoptic patterns favor warmer values with low model spread; high-resolution updates over the next 48 hours will refine thresholds ahead of official Météo-France verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$107Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models place Paris overnight minima for August 11 near 17–18°C amid a lingering warm air mass, light winds, and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, following a period of elevated temperatures across northern France, support the closely matched trader probabilities for 17°C and 18°C outcomes while leaving room for 1°C shifts based on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but current synoptic patterns favor warmer values with low model spread; high-resolution updates over the next 48 hours will refine thresholds ahead of official Météo-France verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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