Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris highs of 31–36°C on August 11, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal sea-surface temperatures following the intense June heatwave. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs cluster around 32–34°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes while assigning low probability to 35°C+ extremes absent stronger subtropical advection. Traders are incorporating the short lead time to resolution, typical August variability of 2–4°C, and potential for afternoon convective cooling or slight model cooling trends before the final update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 11 августа?
32°C 36%
31°C 28%
33°C 23%
30°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
19%
32°C
36%
33°C
23%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 28%
33°C 23%
30°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$67 Объем
1%
29°C
$67 Объем
4%
30°C
$251 Объем
16%
31°C
$194 Объем
19%
32°C
$140 Объем
36%
33°C
$84 Объем
23%
34°C
$67 Объем
3%
35°C
$84 Объем
1%
36°C
$27 Объем
<1%
37°C
$74 Объем
<1%
38°C или выше
$84 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris highs of 31–36°C on August 11, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal sea-surface temperatures following the intense June heatwave. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs cluster around 32–34°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes while assigning low probability to 35°C+ extremes absent stronger subtropical advection. Traders are incorporating the short lead time to resolution, typical August variability of 2–4°C, and potential for afternoon convective cooling or slight model cooling trends before the final update.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$1,139Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris highs of 31–36°C on August 11, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal sea-surface temperatures following the intense June heatwave. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs cluster around 32–34°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes while assigning low probability to 35°C+ extremes absent stronger subtropical advection. Traders are incorporating the short lead time to resolution, typical August variability of 2–4°C, and potential for afternoon convective cooling or slight model cooling trends before the final update.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,139Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris highs of 31–36°C on August 11, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal sea-surface temperatures following the intense June heatwave. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs cluster around 32–34°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes while assigning low probability to 35°C+ extremes absent stronger subtropical advection. Traders are incorporating the short lead time to resolution, typical August variability of 2–4°C, and potential for afternoon convective cooling or slight model cooling trends before the final update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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