Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum near 32–33°C in Paris under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. This setup favors subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects genuine uncertainty in model spread for peak boundary-layer warming and local urban heat-island effects, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above align with limited potential for stronger ridging or reduced mixing. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 10 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 10 августа?
32°C 40%
33°C 31%
31°C 18%
34°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
40%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
33°C 31%
31°C 18%
34°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
$48 Объем
3%
31°C
$37 Объем
18%
32°C
$68 Объем
40%
33°C
$93 Объем
31%
34°C
$10 Объем
11%
35°C
$81 Объем
3%
36°C
$17 Объем
2%
37°C
$66 Объем
<1%
38°C
$120 Объем
<1%
39°C
$469 Объем
<1%
40°C or higher
$469 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum near 32–33°C in Paris under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. This setup favors subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects genuine uncertainty in model spread for peak boundary-layer warming and local urban heat-island effects, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above align with limited potential for stronger ridging or reduced mixing. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Объем
$1,478Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum near 32–33°C in Paris under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. This setup favors subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects genuine uncertainty in model spread for peak boundary-layer warming and local urban heat-island effects, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above align with limited potential for stronger ridging or reduced mixing. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,478Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the August 10 maximum near 32–33°C in Paris under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. This setup favors subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects genuine uncertainty in model spread for peak boundary-layer warming and local urban heat-island effects, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above align with limited potential for stronger ridging or reduced mixing. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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