Recent weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional outlooks points to a maximum of 24–25°C in Moscow on August 10, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit strong daytime heating. Mid-August climatology for the region shows an average daily high near 22°C, with recent early-month warmth (highs reaching 30°C+) giving way to cooler advection ahead of the target date. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around these values, with limited spread from factors such as potential afternoon cloud cover or light precipitation that could suppress peaks. The market-implied probabilities reflect this model agreement, tempered by inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and any late adjustments in steering patterns before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 10 августа?
24°C 43%
25°C 32%
23°C 20%
26°C 5%
20°C или ниже
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
20%
24°C
43%
25°C
32%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C или выше
<1%
24°C 43%
25°C 32%
23°C 20%
26°C 5%
20°C или ниже
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
20%
24°C
43%
25°C
32%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional outlooks points to a maximum of 24–25°C in Moscow on August 10, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit strong daytime heating. Mid-August climatology for the region shows an average daily high near 22°C, with recent early-month warmth (highs reaching 30°C+) giving way to cooler advection ahead of the target date. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around these values, with limited spread from factors such as potential afternoon cloud cover or light precipitation that could suppress peaks. The market-implied probabilities reflect this model agreement, tempered by inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and any late adjustments in steering patterns before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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