Latest short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate daytime maxima near 34–36°C for August 11 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of isolated thunderstorms. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 34°C (29.5%), as convective clouds and brief showers can limit peak solar heating and produce localized cooling. Subtropical summer humidity near 70–80% and urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further influence observed readings at official stations. Traders weigh model consensus against typical August variability, where even modest shifts in timing or coverage of rain can move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 11 августа?
35°C 36%
34°C 30%
36°C 20%
33°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
30%
35°C
36%
36°C
20%
37°C
8%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
34°C 30%
36°C 20%
33°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
$114 Объем
<1%
31°C
$97 Объем
<1%
32°C
$259 Объем
1%
33°C
$116 Объем
11%
34°C
$500 Объем
30%
35°C
$194 Объем
36%
36°C
$92 Объем
20%
37°C
$721 Объем
8%
38°C
$1,245 Объем
2%
39°C
$27 Объем
<1%
40°C or higher
$42 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate daytime maxima near 34–36°C for August 11 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of isolated thunderstorms. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 34°C (29.5%), as convective clouds and brief showers can limit peak solar heating and produce localized cooling. Subtropical summer humidity near 70–80% and urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further influence observed readings at official stations. Traders weigh model consensus against typical August variability, where even modest shifts in timing or coverage of rain can move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$3,405Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate daytime maxima near 34–36°C for August 11 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of isolated thunderstorms. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 34°C (29.5%), as convective clouds and brief showers can limit peak solar heating and produce localized cooling. Subtropical summer humidity near 70–80% and urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further influence observed readings at official stations. Traders weigh model consensus against typical August variability, where even modest shifts in timing or coverage of rain can move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$3,405Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate daytime maxima near 34–36°C for August 11 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of isolated thunderstorms. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 35°C (35.5%) and 34°C (29.5%), as convective clouds and brief showers can limit peak solar heating and produce localized cooling. Subtropical summer humidity near 70–80% and urban heat-island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island further influence observed readings at official stations. Traders weigh model consensus against typical August variability, where even modest shifts in timing or coverage of rain can move the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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