Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow limiting peak temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport on August 10, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome. Typical August climatology shows highs near 83-85°F, yet persistent coastal stratus and sea breezes often suppress readings by several degrees, aligning with the current market-implied distribution favoring the low-to-mid 70s to upper 70s range. No significant heat advection or offshore wind event is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 80°F or higher below 20% combined. Updated NWS short-term forecasts and morning soundings on August 10 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 10 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 10 августа?
78-79°F 55%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 12%
74-75°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
55%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86–87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F или выше
1%
78-79°F 55%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 12%
74-75°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
$233 Объем
1%
72-73°F
$10 Объем
4%
74-75°F
$338 Объем
6%
76-77°F
$375 Объем
29%
78-79°F
$1,506 Объем
55%
80-81°F
$211 Объем
12%
82-83°F
$179 Объем
4%
84-85°F
$7 Объем
2%
86–87°F
$356 Объем
<1%
88-89°F
$399 Объем
1%
90°F или выше
$627 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow limiting peak temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport on August 10, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome. Typical August climatology shows highs near 83-85°F, yet persistent coastal stratus and sea breezes often suppress readings by several degrees, aligning with the current market-implied distribution favoring the low-to-mid 70s to upper 70s range. No significant heat advection or offshore wind event is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 80°F or higher below 20% combined. Updated NWS short-term forecasts and morning soundings on August 10 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Объем
$4,028Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow limiting peak temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport on August 10, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome. Typical August climatology shows highs near 83-85°F, yet persistent coastal stratus and sea breezes often suppress readings by several degrees, aligning with the current market-implied distribution favoring the low-to-mid 70s to upper 70s range. No significant heat advection or offshore wind event is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 80°F or higher below 20% combined. Updated NWS short-term forecasts and morning soundings on August 10 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,028Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating marine layer and onshore flow limiting peak temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport on August 10, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome. Typical August climatology shows highs near 83-85°F, yet persistent coastal stratus and sea breezes often suppress readings by several degrees, aligning with the current market-implied distribution favoring the low-to-mid 70s to upper 70s range. No significant heat advection or offshore wind event is forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 80°F or higher below 20% combined. Updated NWS short-term forecasts and morning soundings on August 10 will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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