Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project clear skies and a maximum of 34°C for Incheon on August 11, establishing the primary driver behind the market's leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These align with climatological norms for mid-August in the region, where high-pressure systems and urban heat effects typically produce daytime highs near 32–35°C, though sea breezes and any late model revisions could moderate readings. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model output against historical variability in peak temperatures, with minimal precipitation expected to limit cooling. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date may further refine implied probabilities as resolution criteria focus on official observed maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 11 августа?
33°C 41%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
22%
33°C
41%
34°C
25%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C или выше
1%
33°C 41%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$420 Объем
<1%
28°C
$122 Объем
<1%
29°C
$10 Объем
1%
30°C
$22 Объем
2%
31°C
$81 Объем
7%
32°C
$89 Объем
22%
33°C
$350 Объем
41%
34°C
$120 Объем
25%
35°C
$54 Объем
7%
36°C
$155 Объем
3%
37°C или выше
$853 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project clear skies and a maximum of 34°C for Incheon on August 11, establishing the primary driver behind the market's leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These align with climatological norms for mid-August in the region, where high-pressure systems and urban heat effects typically produce daytime highs near 32–35°C, though sea breezes and any late model revisions could moderate readings. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model output against historical variability in peak temperatures, with minimal precipitation expected to limit cooling. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date may further refine implied probabilities as resolution criteria focus on official observed maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$2,179Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project clear skies and a maximum of 34°C for Incheon on August 11, establishing the primary driver behind the market's leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These align with climatological norms for mid-August in the region, where high-pressure systems and urban heat effects typically produce daytime highs near 32–35°C, though sea breezes and any late model revisions could moderate readings. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model output against historical variability in peak temperatures, with minimal precipitation expected to limit cooling. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date may further refine implied probabilities as resolution criteria focus on official observed maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,179Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project clear skies and a maximum of 34°C for Incheon on August 11, establishing the primary driver behind the market's leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These align with climatological norms for mid-August in the region, where high-pressure systems and urban heat effects typically produce daytime highs near 32–35°C, though sea breezes and any late model revisions could moderate readings. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model output against historical variability in peak temperatures, with minimal precipitation expected to limit cooling. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date may further refine implied probabilities as resolution criteria focus on official observed maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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