Recent forecast updates from global models, including ECMWF runs, point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall suppressing daytime heating in Shanghai on August 10, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C highs. Official guidance shows a sharp cooldown from earlier August peaks near 34–35°C, with Aug 9–10 precipitation totals exceeding 150 mm in some projections and overcast skies limiting solar radiation. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%), followed by 30°C and 28°C, as the pattern deviates below the early-August climatological average of 31–32°C. Upcoming model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 10 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 10 августа?
29°C 45%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
21%
29°C
45%
30°C
22%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 45%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$282 Объем
<1%
24°C
$218 Объем
<1%
25°C
$53 Объем
<1%
26°C
$286 Объем
1%
27°C
$714 Объем
6%
28°C
$507 Объем
21%
29°C
$1,305 Объем
45%
30°C
$986 Объем
22%
31°C
$993 Объем
9%
32°C
$859 Объем
3%
33°C or higher
$518 Объем
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global models, including ECMWF runs, point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall suppressing daytime heating in Shanghai on August 10, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C highs. Official guidance shows a sharp cooldown from earlier August peaks near 34–35°C, with Aug 9–10 precipitation totals exceeding 150 mm in some projections and overcast skies limiting solar radiation. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%), followed by 30°C and 28°C, as the pattern deviates below the early-August climatological average of 31–32°C. Upcoming model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$6,721Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global models, including ECMWF runs, point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall suppressing daytime heating in Shanghai on August 10, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C highs. Official guidance shows a sharp cooldown from earlier August peaks near 34–35°C, with Aug 9–10 precipitation totals exceeding 150 mm in some projections and overcast skies limiting solar radiation. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%), followed by 30°C and 28°C, as the pattern deviates below the early-August climatological average of 31–32°C. Upcoming model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,721Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from global models, including ECMWF runs, point to persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall suppressing daytime heating in Shanghai on August 10, driving trader consensus toward 28–30°C highs. Official guidance shows a sharp cooldown from earlier August peaks near 34–35°C, with Aug 9–10 precipitation totals exceeding 150 mm in some projections and overcast skies limiting solar radiation. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%), followed by 30°C and 28°C, as the pattern deviates below the early-August climatological average of 31–32°C. Upcoming model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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