**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 10 calls for a high of 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60 % chance of showers, placing the point forecast squarely at the upper end of the market’s leading outcomes.** This aligns with model consensus that has held near or slightly above the late-summer climatological normal of ~26 °C, driven by a warm airmass and limited daytime mixing. Traders have priced 28 °C highest (41.5 %) and 29 °C next (27 %), reflecting residual uncertainty from cloud cover, shower timing, and possible modest cooling from precipitation. Shorter-range guidance shows little support for values above 30 °C or below 27 °C, keeping those tails thin. Updated model runs and any morning observations that confirm or revise the expected cloud trend will be the next key inputs likely to shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 10 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Торонто 10 августа?
28°C 41%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
21%
28°C
41%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
28°C 41%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$220 Объем
1%
25°C
$225 Объем
2%
26°C
$349 Объем
4%
27°C
$603 Объем
21%
28°C
$1,012 Объем
41%
29°C
$1,569 Объем
24%
30°C
$478 Объем
5%
31°C
$133 Объем
1%
32°C
$125 Объем
1%
33°C
$366 Объем
<1%
34°C или выше
$325 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 10 calls for a high of 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60 % chance of showers, placing the point forecast squarely at the upper end of the market’s leading outcomes.** This aligns with model consensus that has held near or slightly above the late-summer climatological normal of ~26 °C, driven by a warm airmass and limited daytime mixing. Traders have priced 28 °C highest (41.5 %) and 29 °C next (27 %), reflecting residual uncertainty from cloud cover, shower timing, and possible modest cooling from precipitation. Shorter-range guidance shows little support for values above 30 °C or below 27 °C, keeping those tails thin. Updated model runs and any morning observations that confirm or revise the expected cloud trend will be the next key inputs likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$5,405Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 10 calls for a high of 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60 % chance of showers, placing the point forecast squarely at the upper end of the market’s leading outcomes.** This aligns with model consensus that has held near or slightly above the late-summer climatological normal of ~26 °C, driven by a warm airmass and limited daytime mixing. Traders have priced 28 °C highest (41.5 %) and 29 °C next (27 %), reflecting residual uncertainty from cloud cover, shower timing, and possible modest cooling from precipitation. Shorter-range guidance shows little support for values above 30 °C or below 27 °C, keeping those tails thin. Updated model runs and any morning observations that confirm or revise the expected cloud trend will be the next key inputs likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,405Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 10 calls for a high of 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60 % chance of showers, placing the point forecast squarely at the upper end of the market’s leading outcomes.** This aligns with model consensus that has held near or slightly above the late-summer climatological normal of ~26 °C, driven by a warm airmass and limited daytime mixing. Traders have priced 28 °C highest (41.5 %) and 29 °C next (27 %), reflecting residual uncertainty from cloud cover, shower timing, and possible modest cooling from precipitation. Shorter-range guidance shows little support for values above 30 °C or below 27 °C, keeping those tails thin. Updated model runs and any morning observations that confirm or revise the expected cloud trend will be the next key inputs likely to shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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