Latest regional forecast models position 24°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability because a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil is suppressing cloud formation and convective activity on August 12, allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear skies. At São Paulo’s latitude of 23°S during austral winter, climatological maxima average near 22–23°C; minor reductions in low-level moisture from the Atlantic or slight decreases in boundary-layer cloud cover could enable urban heat-island amplification to reach 25°C (28.5% odds) or, less likely, 26°C. Earlier August cold-air advection following a bomb cyclone has since moderated, leaving little support for outcomes below 23°C in current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 12 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 12 августа?
24°C 47%
25°C 29%
26°C 13%
23°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$25,482 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,482 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
47%
25°C
29%
26°C
13%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
25°C 29%
26°C 13%
23°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$25,482 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,482 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$320 Объем
<1%
20°C
$876 Объем
<1%
21°C
$2,772 Объем
1%
22°C
$1,525 Объем
4%
23°C
$6,080 Объем
9%
24°C
$4,737 Объем
47%
25°C
$2,131 Объем
29%
26°C
$1,807 Объем
13%
27°C
$846 Объем
1%
28°C
$621 Объем
<1%
29°C or higher
$3,767 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest regional forecast models position 24°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability because a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil is suppressing cloud formation and convective activity on August 12, allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear skies. At São Paulo’s latitude of 23°S during austral winter, climatological maxima average near 22–23°C; minor reductions in low-level moisture from the Atlantic or slight decreases in boundary-layer cloud cover could enable urban heat-island amplification to reach 25°C (28.5% odds) or, less likely, 26°C. Earlier August cold-air advection following a bomb cyclone has since moderated, leaving little support for outcomes below 23°C in current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$25,482Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest regional forecast models position 24°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability because a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil is suppressing cloud formation and convective activity on August 12, allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear skies. At São Paulo’s latitude of 23°S during austral winter, climatological maxima average near 22–23°C; minor reductions in low-level moisture from the Atlantic or slight decreases in boundary-layer cloud cover could enable urban heat-island amplification to reach 25°C (28.5% odds) or, less likely, 26°C. Earlier August cold-air advection following a bomb cyclone has since moderated, leaving little support for outcomes below 23°C in current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$25,482Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest regional forecast models position 24°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability because a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil is suppressing cloud formation and convective activity on August 12, allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear skies. At São Paulo’s latitude of 23°S during austral winter, climatological maxima average near 22–23°C; minor reductions in low-level moisture from the Atlantic or slight decreases in boundary-layer cloud cover could enable urban heat-island amplification to reach 25°C (28.5% odds) or, less likely, 26°C. Earlier August cold-air advection following a bomb cyclone has since moderated, leaving little support for outcomes below 23°C in current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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