Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to moderate rain and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, suppressing maximum temperatures toward the 26–28°C range through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, though forecast spread remains wide due to steering uncertainties in the monsoon trough. This dynamic has positioned the 30–32°C outcomes as the market leaders, reflecting traders’ weighting of climatological August averages near 30–31°C alongside the realistic chance that breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming. Official guidance highlights elevated precipitation probabilities through mid-month, with resolution hinging on verified 24-hour maximum readings from Beijing’s urban stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 13 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 13 августа?
32°C или выше 57%
31°C 18%
30°C 14%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$13,449 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,449 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
14%
31°C
18%
32°C или выше
57%
32°C или выше 57%
31°C 18%
30°C 14%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$13,449 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,449 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$542 Объем
<1%
23°C
$366 Объем
<1%
24°C
$1,352 Объем
<1%
25°C
$804 Объем
1%
26°C
$835 Объем
2%
27°C
$753 Объем
3%
28°C
$964 Объем
6%
29°C
$762 Объем
8%
30°C
$521 Объем
14%
31°C
$1,226 Объем
18%
32°C или выше
$5,322 Объем
57%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to moderate rain and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, suppressing maximum temperatures toward the 26–28°C range through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, though forecast spread remains wide due to steering uncertainties in the monsoon trough. This dynamic has positioned the 30–32°C outcomes as the market leaders, reflecting traders’ weighting of climatological August averages near 30–31°C alongside the realistic chance that breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming. Official guidance highlights elevated precipitation probabilities through mid-month, with resolution hinging on verified 24-hour maximum readings from Beijing’s urban stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$13,449Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to moderate rain and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, suppressing maximum temperatures toward the 26–28°C range through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, though forecast spread remains wide due to steering uncertainties in the monsoon trough. This dynamic has positioned the 30–32°C outcomes as the market leaders, reflecting traders’ weighting of climatological August averages near 30–31°C alongside the realistic chance that breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming. Official guidance highlights elevated precipitation probabilities through mid-month, with resolution hinging on verified 24-hour maximum readings from Beijing’s urban stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,449Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to moderate rain and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, suppressing maximum temperatures toward the 26–28°C range through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, though forecast spread remains wide due to steering uncertainties in the monsoon trough. This dynamic has positioned the 30–32°C outcomes as the market leaders, reflecting traders’ weighting of climatological August averages near 30–31°C alongside the realistic chance that breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming. Official guidance highlights elevated precipitation probabilities through mid-month, with resolution hinging on verified 24-hour maximum readings from Beijing’s urban stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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