Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models place the August 13 overnight minimum near 27–29 °C, with 28 °C as the consensus value amid typical summer humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent high pressure and the absence of tropical cyclone or cold-surge influences maintain above-normal temperatures consistent with the seasonal outlook, while scattered showers could modestly enhance cooling in some scenarios. The tight market clustering around 28–29 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in model runs and microscale variations, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the designated station. Updated guidance expected within the next 24 hours may refine probabilities ahead of settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 13 августа?
28°C 43%
29°C 35%
27°C 16%
30°C 7%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
43%
29°C
35%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
<1%
28°C 43%
29°C 35%
27°C 16%
30°C 7%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
43%
29°C
35%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models place the August 13 overnight minimum near 27–29 °C, with 28 °C as the consensus value amid typical summer humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent high pressure and the absence of tropical cyclone or cold-surge influences maintain above-normal temperatures consistent with the seasonal outlook, while scattered showers could modestly enhance cooling in some scenarios. The tight market clustering around 28–29 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in model runs and microscale variations, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the designated station. Updated guidance expected within the next 24 hours may refine probabilities ahead of settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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