National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus currently favor a minimum temperature of 72–75°F in New York City tonight, driven by partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling, moderate humidity levels, and light southerly flow advecting warmer air. These conditions, combined with the urban heat island effect, reduce the likelihood of sharper drops into the upper 60s. Traders have concentrated probability on the 70–75°F bins because recent guidance shows little model spread and aligns closely with typical mid-August climatology for the region under similar synoptic patterns. Updated NWS briefings tonight could refine the exact threshold if cloud cover or wind shifts develop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 августа?
72-73°F 32%
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 26%
68–69°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68–69°F
7%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80°F или выше
1%
72-73°F 32%
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 26%
68–69°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
$271 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$271 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$42 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$339 Объем
<1%
68–69°F
$292 Объем
7%
70-71°F
$461 Объем
26%
72-73°F
$1,055 Объем
32%
74-75°F
$909 Объем
32%
76-77°F
$250 Объем
3%
78-79°F
$420 Объем
1%
80°F или выше
$51 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus currently favor a minimum temperature of 72–75°F in New York City tonight, driven by partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling, moderate humidity levels, and light southerly flow advecting warmer air. These conditions, combined with the urban heat island effect, reduce the likelihood of sharper drops into the upper 60s. Traders have concentrated probability on the 70–75°F bins because recent guidance shows little model spread and aligns closely with typical mid-August climatology for the region under similar synoptic patterns. Updated NWS briefings tonight could refine the exact threshold if cloud cover or wind shifts develop.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Объем
$4,362Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus currently favor a minimum temperature of 72–75°F in New York City tonight, driven by partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling, moderate humidity levels, and light southerly flow advecting warmer air. These conditions, combined with the urban heat island effect, reduce the likelihood of sharper drops into the upper 60s. Traders have concentrated probability on the 70–75°F bins because recent guidance shows little model spread and aligns closely with typical mid-August climatology for the region under similar synoptic patterns. Updated NWS briefings tonight could refine the exact threshold if cloud cover or wind shifts develop.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,362Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus currently favor a minimum temperature of 72–75°F in New York City tonight, driven by partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling, moderate humidity levels, and light southerly flow advecting warmer air. These conditions, combined with the urban heat island effect, reduce the likelihood of sharper drops into the upper 60s. Traders have concentrated probability on the 70–75°F bins because recent guidance shows little model spread and aligns closely with typical mid-August climatology for the region under similar synoptic patterns. Updated NWS briefings tonight could refine the exact threshold if cloud cover or wind shifts develop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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