Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including INMET and global ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for São Paulo on August 14 under stable Southern Hemisphere winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture, light winds, and mostly cloudy skies suppressing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 23–25°C and recent model consensus showing minimal deviation, positioning 25–27°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes at over 80% combined probability. Modest above-average signals across Brazil have not altered expectations for this date, keeping extremes like 29°C or higher at low odds due to the absence of atypical synoptic setups. Key resolution relies on official central station readings, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the tight range around the leading 26°C outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 14 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 14 августа?
26°C 37%
27°C 27%
25°C 21%
24°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
21%
26°C
37%
27°C
27%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 27%
25°C 21%
24°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$147 Объем
<1%
22°C
$131 Объем
1%
23°C
$60 Объем
2%
24°C
$160 Объем
5%
25°C
$401 Объем
21%
26°C
$319 Объем
37%
27°C
$723 Объем
27%
28°C
$410 Объем
5%
29°C
$683 Объем
3%
30°C
$107 Объем
1%
31°C or higher
$184 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including INMET and global ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for São Paulo on August 14 under stable Southern Hemisphere winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture, light winds, and mostly cloudy skies suppressing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 23–25°C and recent model consensus showing minimal deviation, positioning 25–27°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes at over 80% combined probability. Modest above-average signals across Brazil have not altered expectations for this date, keeping extremes like 29°C or higher at low odds due to the absence of atypical synoptic setups. Key resolution relies on official central station readings, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the tight range around the leading 26°C outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Объем
$3,326Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including INMET and global ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for São Paulo on August 14 under stable Southern Hemisphere winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture, light winds, and mostly cloudy skies suppressing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 23–25°C and recent model consensus showing minimal deviation, positioning 25–27°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes at over 80% combined probability. Modest above-average signals across Brazil have not altered expectations for this date, keeping extremes like 29°C or higher at low odds due to the absence of atypical synoptic setups. Key resolution relies on official central station readings, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the tight range around the leading 26°C outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,326Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including INMET and global ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for São Paulo on August 14 under stable Southern Hemisphere winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture, light winds, and mostly cloudy skies suppressing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 23–25°C and recent model consensus showing minimal deviation, positioning 25–27°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes at over 80% combined probability. Modest above-average signals across Brazil have not altered expectations for this date, keeping extremes like 29°C or higher at low odds due to the absence of atypical synoptic setups. Key resolution relies on official central station readings, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the tight range around the leading 26°C outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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