Recent forecasts from sources such as Trip.com project a daytime high near 28°C for Qingdao on August 15, 2026, amid light rain and persistent cloud cover, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 29–30°C. Maritime moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with northeasterly flow and expected precipitation, limits daytime heating relative to mid-August climatology near 29–30°C. Numerical weather prediction guidance shows modest variability tied to cloud-cover timing, rainfall intensity, and boundary-layer mixing, while official China Meteorological Administration updates remain the key catalyst that could shift probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer. Historical August baselines and current model consensus support the tight spread between leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 15 августа?
30°C 29%
29°C 27%
31°C 23%
28°C 13%
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
27%
30°C
29%
31°C
23%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C или выше
<1%
30°C 29%
29°C 27%
31°C 23%
28°C 13%
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
27%
30°C
29%
31°C
23%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources such as Trip.com project a daytime high near 28°C for Qingdao on August 15, 2026, amid light rain and persistent cloud cover, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 29–30°C. Maritime moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with northeasterly flow and expected precipitation, limits daytime heating relative to mid-August climatology near 29–30°C. Numerical weather prediction guidance shows modest variability tied to cloud-cover timing, rainfall intensity, and boundary-layer mixing, while official China Meteorological Administration updates remain the key catalyst that could shift probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer. Historical August baselines and current model consensus support the tight spread between leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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