Short-range forecasts from agencies like Roshydromet and European models show Moscow's August 13 maximum likely peaking near 16°C amid a cooler air mass advecting from the northwest, with partly cloudy skies and light showers limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus on modest radiative cooling and northerly flow that caps temperatures below recent early-August peaks. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty in exact maxima, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge readings toward 18°C or hold them at 15°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will refine trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 13 августа?
17°C 23%
16°C 21%
15°C 19%
18°C 13%
12°C или ниже
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
25%
16°C
28%
17°C
23%
18°C
13%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C или выше
2%
17°C 23%
16°C 21%
15°C 19%
18°C 13%
12°C или ниже
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
25%
16°C
28%
17°C
23%
18°C
13%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from agencies like Roshydromet and European models show Moscow's August 13 maximum likely peaking near 16°C amid a cooler air mass advecting from the northwest, with partly cloudy skies and light showers limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus on modest radiative cooling and northerly flow that caps temperatures below recent early-August peaks. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty in exact maxima, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge readings toward 18°C or hold them at 15°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will refine trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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