**Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 12, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and possible scattered showers associated with a passing frontal boundary.** This setup limits daytime heating compared to early-August warmth, producing consensus maximum temperatures clustered around 17–18°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread into 16°C or 19°C outcomes, while historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated short-range guidance and official observations from Roshydromet will refine resolution criteria ahead of the event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 12 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 12 августа?
17°C 35%
18°C 33%
16°C 14%
19°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 авг. 2026 г.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
7%
14°C
7%
15°C
8%
16°C
14%
17°C
35%
18°C
33%
19°C
14%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C or higher
3%
17°C 35%
18°C 33%
16°C 14%
19°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 авг. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$13 Объем
<1%
13°C
$12 Объем
7%
14°C
$12 Объем
7%
15°C
$15 Объем
8%
16°C
$187 Объем
14%
17°C
$44 Объем
35%
18°C
$21 Объем
33%
19°C
$90 Объем
14%
20°C
$17 Объем
3%
21°C
$39 Объем
6%
22°C or higher
$17 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 12, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and possible scattered showers associated with a passing frontal boundary.** This setup limits daytime heating compared to early-August warmth, producing consensus maximum temperatures clustered around 17–18°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread into 16°C or 19°C outcomes, while historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated short-range guidance and official observations from Roshydromet will refine resolution criteria ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$468Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 12, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and possible scattered showers associated with a passing frontal boundary.** This setup limits daytime heating compared to early-August warmth, producing consensus maximum temperatures clustered around 17–18°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread into 16°C or 19°C outcomes, while historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated short-range guidance and official observations from Roshydromet will refine resolution criteria ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$468Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 12, driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and possible scattered showers associated with a passing frontal boundary.** This setup limits daytime heating compared to early-August warmth, producing consensus maximum temperatures clustered around 17–18°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread into 16°C or 19°C outcomes, while historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the current anomaly. Updated short-range guidance and official observations from Roshydromet will refine resolution criteria ahead of the event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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