Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 13, driven by a persistent Pacific high-pressure system, elevated humidity, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 23°C (45.5%) and 24°C (33.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the latest model guidance amid a broader summer pattern of above-normal temperatures. Resolution hinges on official daily minimum readings, with fresh JMA updates and refined model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 13 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 13 августа?
23°C 37%
24°C 35%
22°C 19%
20°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
9%
22°C
19%
23°C
39%
24°C
35%
25°C
9%
26°C
7%
27°C
5%
28°C или выше
<1%
23°C 37%
24°C 35%
22°C 19%
20°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
19°C
$5 Объем
1%
20°C
$25 Объем
11%
21°C
$0 Объем
9%
22°C
$0 Объем
19%
23°C
$5 Объем
39%
24°C
$61 Объем
35%
25°C
$0 Объем
9%
26°C
$0 Объем
7%
27°C
$5 Объем
5%
28°C или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 13, driven by a persistent Pacific high-pressure system, elevated humidity, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 23°C (45.5%) and 24°C (33.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the latest model guidance amid a broader summer pattern of above-normal temperatures. Resolution hinges on official daily minimum readings, with fresh JMA updates and refined model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$101Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 13, driven by a persistent Pacific high-pressure system, elevated humidity, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 23°C (45.5%) and 24°C (33.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the latest model guidance amid a broader summer pattern of above-normal temperatures. Resolution hinges on official daily minimum readings, with fresh JMA updates and refined model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$101Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 13, driven by a persistent Pacific high-pressure system, elevated humidity, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 23°C (45.5%) and 24°C (33.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the latest model guidance amid a broader summer pattern of above-normal temperatures. Resolution hinges on official daily minimum readings, with fresh JMA updates and refined model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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